Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 91% |
| Georgia State O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 87% |
| Spread -3.5 | 86% |
| Spread -5.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 81% |
| Spread -4.5 | 81% |
| O/U 54.5 | 79% |
| Spread -8.5 | 78% |
| O/U 52.5 | 77% |
| Spread -6.5 | 75% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 19.5 | 72% |
| Spread -7.5 | 70% |
| O/U 56.5 | 67% |
| Georgia State O/U 33.5 | 67% |
| Spread -11.5 | 66% |
| Georgia State O/U 30.5 | 66% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| O/U 58.5 | 57% |
| Spread -13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -16.5 | 53% |
| Spread -18.5 | 51% |
| O/U 44.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| Spread -24.5 | 47% |
| Spread -23.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -20.5 | 34% |
| Spread -17.5 | 31% |
| O/U 64.5 | 31% |
| Spread -27.5 | 21% |
| O/U 70.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -3.5 | 15% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 76.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 7% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State | 4% |
| Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 100% Chance für prognose: northern illinois vs. georgia state. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Georgia State, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if North…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $247K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State" auf Prognosewetten handeln
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