Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 25.5 | 95% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| O/U 31.5 | 89% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| Vikings O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| Packers O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| Vikings O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| O/U 38.5 | 74% |
| Packers O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 61% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| Packers 1H O/U 8.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-13 | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-20 | 49% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+ | 48% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 48% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Packers 1H O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 51.5 | 33% |
| Vikings O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| O/U 55.5 | 23% |
| Packers O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 56.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -21.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: packers vs. vikings 97%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $113K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →