Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 197.5 | 96% |
| O/U 199.5 | 96% |
| O/U 201.5 | 94% |
| O/U 203.5 | 93% |
| O/U 205.5 | 91% |
| O/U 207.5 | 89% |
| O/U 209.5 | 86% |
| 76ers O/U 102.5 | 86% |
| O/U 211.5 | 83% |
| Pistons O/U 101.5 | 83% |
| Pistons O/U 103.5 | 82% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 81% |
| O/U 213.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 80% |
| 76ers O/U 104.5 | 80% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 78% |
| O/U 215.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 77% |
| Pistons O/U 105.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 76% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 76% |
| 76ers O/U 106.5 | 74% |
| O/U 217.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 73% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 71% |
| Pistons O/U 107.5 | 71% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| O/U 219.5 | 69% |
| 76ers O/U 108.5 | 69% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 68% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| O/U 221.5 | 65% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 63% |
| Pistons O/U 109.5 | 63% |
| 76ers O/U 110.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 62% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 61% |
| Pistons O/U 111.5 | 61% |
| O/U 223.5 | 60% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 56.5 | 59% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| O/U 225.5 | 56% |
| O/U 226.5 | 55% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 76ers O/U 112.5 | 55% |
| O/U 227.5 | 54% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| Pistons O/U 113.5 | 53% |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | 52% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Adem Bona: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Adem Bona: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Adem Bona: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Adem Bona: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Adem Bona: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Adem Bona: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Adem Bona: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Adem Bona: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| O/U 229.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 44.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 44.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Pistons O/U 115.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 44.5 | 46% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Race to 20 | 45% |
| Race to 30 | 45% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| O/U 231.5 | 44% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 44% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Paul Reed: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 76ers O/U 116.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Pistons O/U 117.5 | 39% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| Adem Bona: Points O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| O/U 233.5 | 38% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 38% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 235.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Adem Bona: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| Pistons O/U 119.5 | 33% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 31% |
| O/U 237.5 | 30% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 62.5 | 30% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 29% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| O/U 239.5 | 27% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5 | 27% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Paul Reed: Assists O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Pistons O/U 121.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5 | 27% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5 | 27% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| 76ers O/U 122.5 | 25% |
| O/U 241.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Pistons O/U 123.5 | 24% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 11.5 | 23% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| O/U 243.5 | 21% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 21% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 19% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 19% |
| Paul Reed: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Pistons O/U 125.5 | 17% |
| Adem Bona: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 29.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.5 | 14% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 14% |
| 76ers O/U 126.5 | 14% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -15.5 | 13% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Spread -18.5 | 9% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 6% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Spread -23.5 | 5% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 39.5 | 5% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 5% |
| Paul Reed: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 9.5 | 4% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 4% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Adem Bona: Points O/U 14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -25.5 | 3% |
| Spread -24.5 | 3% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
| Spread -29.5 | 2% |
| Spread -31.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Pistons vs. 76ers" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 96% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:30PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postpone…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $867K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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