Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 88% |
| O/U 207.5 | 86% |
| O/U 209.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 83% |
| O/U 211.5 | 82% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 82% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 80% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 78% |
| O/U 213.5 | 77% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 14.5 | 75% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 73% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| 1H Moneyline | 71% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 71% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 70% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 53.5 | 70% |
| Pacers vs. Nets | 69% |
| Race to 20 | 69% |
| Race to 30 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 69% |
| O/U 215.5 | 68% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 9.5 | 68% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 68% |
| O/U 217.5 | 67% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| O/U 219.5 | 65% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 64% |
| Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 221.5 | 60% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 4.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 58% |
| O/U 223.5 | 57% |
| Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 55% |
| Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 49% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| O/U 227.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| O/U 229.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 231.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| Spread -10.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 37% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 34% |
| Spread -11.5 | 33% |
| O/U 233.5 | 33% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 31% |
| Spread -12.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 30% |
| O/U 235.5 | 29% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 29% |
| O/U 237.5 | 28% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 24% |
| O/U 239.5 | 23% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Spread -15.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 21% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 241.5 | 19% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| O/U 243.5 | 18% |
| O/U 245.5 | 18% |
| Spread -19.5 | 16% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 16% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Spread -18.5 | 14% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 12% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 11% |
| O/U 249.5 | 10% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Spread -23.5 | 9% |
| O/U 247.5 | 9% |
| O/U 251.5 | 9% |
| Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| Spread -12.5 | 7% |
| Spread -27.5 | 7% |
| O/U 253.5 | 7% |
| O/U 255.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -35.5 | 3% |
| Spread -31.5 | 2% |
| Spread -33.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Pacers vs. Nets" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 88% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 6:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, t…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.5M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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