Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 198.5 | 94% |
| O/U 200.5 | 92% |
| O/U 202.5 | 90% |
| O/U 204.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 86% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 85% |
| O/U 206.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 83% |
| O/U 208.5 | 82% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 82% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 80% |
| O/U 210.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 77% |
| O/U 212.5 | 75% |
| O/U 214.5 | 72% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| Knicks 1H O/U 55.5 | 69% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| Magic 1H O/U 51.5 | 68% |
| O/U 216.5 | 67% |
| Knicks O/U 104.5 | 67% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 66% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 66% |
| Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 48.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| Knicks O/U 106.5 | 65% |
| O/U 218.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 63% |
| Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 62% |
| Knicks O/U 108.5 | 62% |
| Magic O/U 100.5 | 62% |
| O/U 220.5 | 60% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Knicks 1H O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 14.5 | 59% |
| Magic O/U 102.5 | 59% |
| Magic 1H O/U 53.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 58% |
| Knicks O/U 110.5 | 58% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 222.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 56% |
| Knicks O/U 112.5 | 56% |
| Magic O/U 104.5 | 56% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 54% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 53% |
| Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Knicks O/U 114.5 | 52% |
| Magic O/U 108.5 | 52% |
| O/U 224.5 | 51% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Magic O/U 106.5 | 51% |
| Magic 1H O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Knicks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Knicks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Knicks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Knicks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Knicks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Magic 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 49% |
| Knicks O/U 116.5 | 49% |
| Knicks 1H O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 226.5 | 47% |
| Miles McBride: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 46% |
| Knicks O/U 118.5 | 46% |
| Knicks O/U 128.5 | 46% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Magic O/U 110.5 | 45% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Race to 10 | 43% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Knicks O/U 120.5 | 43% |
| Magic O/U 112.5 | 43% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 42% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| O/U 228.5 | 41% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 41% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 41% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| Knicks 1H O/U 61.5 | 41% |
| Magic O/U 114.5 | 41% |
| Race to 20 | 40% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Magic 1H O/U 57.5 | 40% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 40% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| Knicks O/U 122.5 | 39% |
| Race to 30 | 38% |
| Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Magic O/U 116.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 37% |
| Knicks O/U 124.5 | 37% |
| O/U 230.5 | 36% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Miles McBride: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 36% |
| Magic O/U 118.5 | 36% |
| Spread -11.5 | 35% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -12.5 | 33% |
| O/U 232.5 | 33% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 21.5 | 32% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Knicks O/U 126.5 | 32% |
| Knicks 1H O/U 63.5 | 32% |
| Magic vs. Knicks | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 31% |
| Magic 1H O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| Magic O/U 120.5 | 31% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| O/U 234.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 29% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| Spread -15.5 | 25% |
| O/U 236.5 | 25% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 24% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 24.5 | 23% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| O/U 238.5 | 22% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| O/U 240.5 | 19% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -19.5 | 17% |
| O/U 242.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 17% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 44.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 17% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| O/U 244.5 | 14% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 12% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 12% |
| Spread -23.5 | 11% |
| O/U 246.5 | 11% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 39.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Miles McBride: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 9% |
| Miles McBride: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -12.5 | 8% |
| Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 4% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 3% |
| Spread -31.5 | 3% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -33.5 | 2% |
| Spread -35.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Magic vs. Knicks" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 94% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed,…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $845K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Magic vs. Knicks" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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